I am new here, and I feel the need to be the one to break the
Fighting Words section in. I often post over at
www.starshipmodeler.net and visit
www.starshipmodeler.comI can be found in the Real Space thread and have many links on the Buran vs. Dyna-Soar pages.
Let me throw down the gauntlet by saying that a Space Elevator system will only work by construction of Heavy-Lift (80-100 ton-to-LEO) Launch Vehicles. Everything else is rubbish, as I will explain below in my article:
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Heavy Lift IS NeededI was disturbed by the anti-Heavy Lift sentiment expressed by Don Robertson in the Sept. 20 issue of SPACE NEWS ("No Need for New Launchers Now "). He could not be more wrong. The key to lower launch costs is not launch frequency, but delivery in bulk. We do not see motorboats crossing the Atlantic with goods, but very large containerships plying the waves.
The EELVs cannot in fact lift over one-fifth of the Saturn V's 130-140 tons to LEO. The EELV is an albatross no better than the near-extinct Titan IV it replaces. The critics of ISS forget that the big reason behind the constant delay of ISS is the fact that it is assembled 20 tons at a time.
A modular HLLV like Energiya that had the hydrogen engines under the External Tank (ET) could carry a simple Buran-type orbiter or swap it out with 100 ton payload pods. Five of those and ISS would have been finished years ago.
The critics of HLLVs also don't seem to understand the term 'margin.' It would take five three-core Delta IV 'heavies' with one RS-68 hydrogen engine per core to place 100 tons to LEO in five launches of 20 tons each. This means you would have to throw 15 RS-68 engines away. I can place 100 tons into orbit expending only three or four RS-68s mounted under our External Tank in an Energiya type system that has engine-out capability, unlike the EELVs. If one of an HLLV's hydrogen engines go out, I can burn the others longer. This cannot be done with the Delta IV. The RS-68 (a good engine now) has had trouble with turbopumps before, so some engine-out capability should be mandatory. The Delta IV has been taken out of the commercial launch market, and Boeing's largest commercial rocket is now the Sea Launch booster, Zenit--which started life as the Energiya HLLV liquid-fueled strap-on booster. The two-nozzle version of the four nozzle Zenit (RD-170) engines is the RD-180 used by Lockheed-Martin's Atlas V EELV.
Both Boeing and Lockheed-Martin now must rely on technology that was developed for Heavy Lift in the first place, which makes their attempt to fight Heavy-Lift development all the more sickening to those of us who watched as these two companies put off rocket development in favor of Stealth systems and $200 billion Joint Strike Fighter that can neither deflect asteroids or disable ICBMs--seeing as large BMDO payloads need HLLVs in order to work as intended, i.e. shoot down at missiles in boost phase, not shoot up at warheads, decoys, buses and nosecones already on their way down.
If it wasn't for Heavy-Lift, Boeing and Lockheed-Martin would not now have their two biggest commercial launchers.
Now the two companies rely on Russian equipment. They still don't get it. What we really need is all-American technology with Russian philosophy. All American RS-68s from Boeing can be placed under Lockheed-Martin's External Tank giving us Heavy Lifters with engine out capability and no reliance on other countries.
The Russian philosophy is what we must adapt--they understood that 'too much truck is better than not enough.' Remember, their R-7 Sputnik launcher was considered overlarge, and yet it and the bigger Proton have become their best sellers. By the time we completed our EELVs they could carry no more than these other Russian launch vehicles which had glutted the market, leaving the EELVs too little--too late. Now the Aerospace companies are left the EELV Albatross they now wish to hang on our necks.
The EELVs would continue the failed 'build it twenty-tons-at-a-time-and-they-will-come' mindset that left us with the ISS. This philosophy is even worse when it comes to exploration since hydrogen boil off will be even more of a problem when you adopt the pieces/parts type assembly.
If we want large production runs, then get the most bang for your buck. Using the Delta IV approach, you must expend 15 RS-68s to get 100 tons to orbit. By launching five HLLVs with only three RS-68s apiece, you sell your 15 RS-68s but you have 500 tons in orbit in the same amount of time. Real Space commerce will only be successful if done in large scale--not by dropping ME-163 Komets out from under Learjets.
The Titan IV often cost a billion dollar a shot. An HLLV should be no more than this. But remember, that equates into $200 million for every 20 tons of HLLV payload--putting it at least even with EELV costs that are likely to exceed $250 million for every 20 tons or so--with no engine out capability!
But the real cost of medium lift is higher, since you will need five upper stages for every 100 tons placed into orbit by five EELVs as opposed to having but one engine-equipped External Tank deliver the entire load to space, retaining a large empty shuttle External Tank that, like Skylab, can give industry real floor space. Gene Meyers of Space Island Group (
www.spaceislandgroup.com )understands that much at least, and sees the industrial potential only large scale can bring.
The money saved by ending JSF and the Discovery Programs could field an HLLV in but a few years with much more capability. Or we can continue to send puny bomb-disposal robots to Mars and risk the lives of EELV-riding astronauts docking and refueling fifty-eleven times just to get to the moon, while the Russians continue to make money off us, because they had the good sense to build rockets big in the first place.
BTW, We need to get rid of John Jumper and have Lance Lord--or better yet Pete Worden--take over as head of the Air Farce and have the fighter jocks who lord it over the space people take a back seat for a change. I think the NAVY would have a better mindset when it comes to logistics.
And yes, it was me who wrote the controversial Space Daily piece "IS THE AIR FORCE THE ENEMY OF SPACE?"
Read General Medaris' book COUNTDOWN FOR DECISION to learn how the AF stole space away from the Army. The soviets knew to keep space away from the prima donnas in their Air Force, and kept rockets inside the army.
Rule #1 in Space advocacy. Keep the Air Force the @##! away from it.
Publius Rex
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