If you can see it from orbit – it’s not a “spill”!
June 21st, 2010If you can see it from orbit – it’s not a “spill”!
First things first, we need to frame this topic a little better. Framing the debate is a tactic that, if done well can give a decided advantage to one side or the other.[1] In this case the word “spill” has been used to describe this environmental catastrophe. I believe this term has been used to trivialize the extent of the problem, to minimize public perception, and used as a delaying tactic. I think that BP thinks that a “spill” can be ignored or covered up – like it was in Nigeria.[2]
Let’s look at that a moment, before we move on. A “spill” is “to flow from a container”.[3]
By its very definition, a spill has a finite limit. There is a known volume that, when exhausted, will complete the spill. The spill will be finished, because there is no more liquid within the container. Seems pretty basic, right? An oil tanker can spill. A glass of milk can spill…
Framed differently – framed correctly – what we are dealing with is a “gusher”. By definition again: “an oil well from which oil flows freely and in large amounts, without having to be pumped”.[4] This is a gusher from Oklahoma.[5] What is happening in the Gulf of Mexico[6] is not a spill. It is a “gusher”.[7]
So now that we have cleared up that particular miscommunication, let’s focus on the actual problem, mitigation tools and potential long-term solutions.
So the logical first and second questions are – where is the oil? And how much is there? Well, here is a day by day gusher map[8], courtesy of the NY Times with an estimated 34-100Million gallons poured into our world’s oceans during the almost 2 months since it happened. It seems odd to me, that BP did not know (or did not want to know, or did not want the world to know) how much was gushing out of their oil well. But I will leave that question up to the investigative reporters, the Congressional hearings and finally by the litigation lawyers that will be seeking damages, because: “The company’s liability will ultimately be determined in part by how many barrels of oil are spilled.”[9]
So the next question is – what is being done, now to deal with it? I’m not on the ground, so I can’t say with certainty what the actual steps are. We’ve read about the booms, corrals, caps, top-kill, burnings (complete with endangered sea turtles cooked alive[10]) and other tactics… But one thing I am sure of, is that this problem will not be solved without space communications. Just six months ago, the US Coast Guard deployed a new communications tool set – “to expand its communications capacity and take advantage of affordable, emerging commercial satellite services.”[11] NASA[12], NOAA and the DoD have been supplying remote sensing imagery to the command centers. Between the robotics, remote sensing, chemical dispersants, radio and satellite communications between ships, ground crew and the command center, and the various tracking systems employed; my hunch is that space and space-age technology is the unsung hero of this fiasco.
So what do we do next? We have to have energy, sure. But does it have to come from ‘oil’?
Hold that thought, we will come back to it.
Maybe we are looking at this gusher from the wrong angle. Yes, it is an ecological disaster. Yes, people are out of work. Yes, as if Louisiana wasn’t already in rough shape, this adds further problems to the regional economy. Yes, in an unrelated problem (created during the Bush presidency), Texas, Alabama and Florida will lose 50,000 space, advanced technology and support jobs.[13] Yes, Florida anticipates a $1B loss in tourism if the tar balls hit their shoreline. All of these are true.
Yet, what if we are looking at this gusher from the wrong perspective? What if we can carve something positive out of this nightmare?
What if we look at this gusher and say: “We can do better. We can learn and we can grow. We can make a lasting difference. And this difference can be big enough to change things. Forever.”
What if this gusher were a short-term problem, but was framed as long-term opportunity?
We have a lot of people that are angry over this mess. I am. You probably are too. We also have an amazing resource in the space community in this region – many of whom are going to be unemployed soon as a result of the Space Shuttle program closure. Can we take these remarkable people and retask them, through various governmental agencies (NASA, NOAA, DoD and DOE) and commercials teams (USA, LockMart, Boeing and their myriad of support companies)?
It’s been proposed in a number of forums that the US convene an official conference to study Space Based Solar Energy[14]. It is continually voted up as a primary idea, and it continues to be officially ignored. I am not saying that SBSP is the be-all-end-all solution to this energy problem. Because of my efforts developing the Space Elevator[15] over the past 9 years, I can tell you first hand that SBSP is a really really really difficult challenge. Not quite, but almost on the scale and complexity of building an Elevator to Space. Now, I’m not asking that the US commit to building this system, at least not yet. What I am asking for is a new, large, revised and unbiased, study on this concept.
You’ve got a gusher that has become a national problem; one that is compounded by international media exposure and dead animals[16]. You’ve got a brilliant – and possibly irreplaceable – workforce that will soon be unemployed. And you’ve got a national security issue[17] if you don’t solve once-and-for-all the question of energy security.
I believe that this is a near-perfect congruence and a tremendous opportunity. Assemble the conference. Do the study. If those actions agree, then move forward on design and development of a system. And if you do this, then you also unshackle the US from both foreign governments that do not have our interests at heart, AND from the environmental catastrophe of almost 4000[18] floating oil rigs in the Gulf of Mexico.
This gusher is a mess. Also, we have a mess brewing with our civil space communities that are in the same region. Surely there is a way to team these problems and come up with a victory.
President / Chief Strategic Officer – LiftPort Group[20]
Partner – Apollo Partners[21]
P.S. Tweet this! I’m @mlaine in Twitter.[22]
[1] http://bit.ly/99U2Ts (East Carolina University)
[2] http://bit.ly/aedvCt (UK Guardian)
[3] http://bit.ly/d1tQQ6 (Encarta)
[4] http://bit.ly/a8jjRy (Encarta)
[5] http://bit.ly/cVSQmh (Oklahoma Historical Society)
[6] http://bit.ly/aRGhqz (PBS Calculator)
[7] http://bit.ly/bgZVbK (Bing Search Results for Video)
[8] http://bit.ly/cIdmsM (New York Times)
[9] http://nyti.ms/98JTrQ (New York Times)
[10] http://bit.ly/dwDEs8 (YouTube Personal Interview)
[11] http://bit.ly/aIq8Eq (US Coast Guard)
[12] http://bit.ly/c6eida (NASA)
[13] http://bit.ly/a8aQdS (Brevard County)
[14] http://bit.ly/9XQ26i (National Space Society)
[15] http://bit.ly/I4QJ6 (LiftPort)
[16] http://bit.ly/dsDluI (DailyDeadBirds.com
[17] http://bit.ly/cyzWj1 (National Security Space Office)
[18] http://bit.ly/b7fqzo (NOAA 2006, Wikipedia)
[19] http://bit.ly/dCsIt (LinkedIn Profile)
[20] http://bit.ly/I4QJ6 (LiftPort Group)
[21] http://bit.ly/bgwBNX (Apollo Partners)
[22] http://bit.ly/a7SRtt (@mlaine on Twitter)

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